Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The Shanghai 50 index fell more than 2%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell 1.8%.Shanghai Gold Exchange: the settlement price of NYAuTN12 contract in Shanghai New Zealand was 627.85 yuan/gram. On December 13th, Shanghai Gold Exchange issued a notice saying that NYAuTN12 contract in Shanghai New Zealand was settled on December 13th, 2024. The details of the settlement of the contract are as follows: the settlement price of NYAuTN12 contract in Shanghai New Zealand was 627.85 yuan/gram.
From January to October, the total output of lithium batteries in China increased by 16% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China's lithium-ion battery industry continued to grow from January to October 2024. According to the announcement of lithium battery industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the total output of lithium batteries in China from January to October was 890GWh, up 16% year-on-year. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the profit of China's lithium battery manufacturing industry increased by 39.4% from January to October. In the battery sector, the output of energy storage lithium batteries exceeded 200GWh from January to October. The loading capacity of power lithium batteries for new energy vehicles is about 405GWh. From January to October, the total export of lithium batteries in China reached 350.2 billion yuan, down 9.2% year-on-year, and the decline was 3.3 percentage points narrower than that in January-June.The head of the region said that the Russian attack on the key infrastructure in the Ivano-Frankov region was the biggest attack on the region so far.Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.
Saudi institutions are optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology. Ekta Torani, chief investment officer of Saudi KBW Venture Capital Company, recently said in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates that with the increasingly close economic and trade ties between the Gulf region and China, the institution is optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology.Meijin Energy has set up a new coal washing company with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise investigation APP, Shanxi Meijin Taiyue Coal Washing Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Wu Yong as the legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: coal washing; Sales of coal and products; Coal-based activated carbon and other coal processing. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Meijin Energy.The 30-year main contract of treasury bond futures rose to 0.62%, which continued to hit a new high. In addition, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.37%, the 5-year main contract rose by 0.27%, and the 2-year main contract rose by 0.09%, which was another record.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14